Oscar Predictions and Final Awards Comments

[MacGuffin]

Taking cbrad's idea...

what do you guys think about organizing an oscar poll? remember now, in doing this, you would be voting for what you think will win, not what you want to win.

...and combining the two, from the list below, post your picks: Who you want to win and who you think will win. Not necessary to do the whole (unless you'd like), just the ones you want.


BEST PICTURE
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
LOST IN TRANSLATION
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
MYSTIC RIVER
SEABISCUIT

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Keisha Castle-Hughes - WHALE RIDER
Diane Keaton - SOMETHING'S GOTTA GIVE
Samantha Morton - IN AMERICA
Charlize Theron - MONSTER
Naomi Watts - 21 GRAMS

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Johnny Depp - PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
Ben Kingsley - HOUSE OF SAND AND FOG
Jude Law - COLD MOUNTAIN
Bill Murray - LOST IN TRANSLATION
Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Shohreh Aghdashloo - HOUSE OF SAND AND FOG
Patricia Clarkson - PIECES OF APRIL
Marcia Gay Harden - MYSTIC RIVER
Holly Hunter - THIRTEEN
Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Alec Baldwin - THE COOLER
Benicio Del Toro - 21 GRAMS
Djimon Hounsou - IN AMERICA
Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER
Ken Watanabe - THE LAST SAMURAI

DIRECTING
CITY OF GOD
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
LOST IN TRANSLATION
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
MYSTIC RIVER

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
AMERICAN SPLENDOR
CITY OF GOD
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
MYSTIC RIVER
SEABISCUIT

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS
DIRTY PRETTY THINGS
FINDING NEMO
IN AMERICA
LOST IN TRANSLATION

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
BROTHER BEAR
FINDING NEMO
THE TRIPLETS OF BELLEVILLE

ART DIRECTION
GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING
THE LAST SAMURAI
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
SEABISCUIT

CINEMATOGRAPHY
CITY OF GOD
COLD MOUNTAIN
GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
SEABISCUIT

COSTUME DESIGN
GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING
THE LAST SAMURAI
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
SEABISCUIT

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
BALSEROS
CAPTURING THE FRIEDMANS
THE FOG OF WAR
MY ARCHITECT
THE WEATHER UNDERGROUND

FILM EDITING
CITY OF GOD
COLD MOUNTAIN
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
SEABISCUIT

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS
EVIL
THE TWILIGHT SAMURAI
TWIN SISTERS
ŽELARY

MAKEUP
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL

MUSIC (SCORE)
BIG FISH
COLD MOUNTAIN
FINDING NEMO
HOUSE OF SAND AND FOG
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SONG)
"Into the West" - THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(Music and Lyric by Fran Walsh and Howard Shore and Annie Lennox)
"A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow" - A MIGHTY WIND
(Music and Lyric by Michael McKean and Annette O'Toole)
"Scarlet Tide" - COLD MOUNTAIN
(Music and Lyric by T Bone Burnett and Elvis Costello)
"The Triplets of Belleville" - THE TRIPLETS OF BELLEVILLE
(Music by Benoit Charest. Lyric by Sylvain Chomet)
"You Will Be My Ain True Love" - COLD MOUNTAIN
(Music and Lyric by Sting)

SOUND
THE LAST SAMURAI
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
SEABISCUIT

SOUND EDITING
FINDING NEMO
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL

VISUAL EFFECTS
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL

[82]

The African American denomination will sweep the Oscars.

[modage]

BEST PICTURE
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
WANT: Naomi Watts - 21 GRAMS
THINK: Charlize Theron - MONSTER

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
WANT: Johnny Depp - PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
THINK: Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
WANT: Holly Hunter - THIRTEEN
THINK: Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
WANT: Benicio Del Toro - 21 GRAMS
THINK: Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER

DIRECTING
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
WANT: CITY OF GOD
THINK: MYSTIC RIVER

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
WANT: FINDING NEMO
THINK: LOST IN TRANSLATION

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
WANT: FINDING NEMO
THINK: FINDING NEMO

ART DIRECTION
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

CINEMATOGRAPHY
WANT: COLD MOUNTAIN

COSTUME DESIGN
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

FILM EDITING
WANT: CITY OF GOD

MAKEUP
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SCORE)
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND EDITING
WANT: FINDING NEMO

VISUAL EFFECTS
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

[ono]

I want LiT to sweep, but I have a sick feeling LotR will dominate.

I really want Hounsou and Castle-Hughes to win their respective categories, but they are huge underdogs as well.  I wonder about the Best Lead Actor category.  Bill Murray should win, though I haven't seen Mystic River, so I can't be sure.  From what I've heard Robbins is a lock for the supporting role, so that ruins it for Hounsou.  And the Theron hype is in overkill so that ruins chances for Castle-Hughes and even Watts, who deserves it, too.

And 82 seems to be trapped in two years ago.  

[modage]

I want LiT to sweep, but I have a sick feeling LotR will dominate.

its funny because i liked LiT better than Rotk, but i want Rotk to win.  i think the trilogy deserves it, and certainly jackson.  i'm up to my ears in lit overhype.  let the backlash begin!

[NEON MERCURY]

BEST PICTURE
will.......THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
want....MYSTIC RIVER

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
will....Charlize Theron - MONSTER
want....Naomi Watts - 21 GRAMS

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
want/will.....Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
want...Holly Hunter - THIRTEEN
will....Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
want....Benicio Del Toro - 21 GRAMS
will...Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER

DIRECTING
want/will.....THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
want....AMERICAN SPLENDOR
will...MYSTIC RIVER


thats about all.....

[Myxo]

My picks for who I believe will win. Not necessarily who I'd like to see win. First things first though..

Oscar will make this the Lord of the Rings year. It'll win basically anything it's up for.

BEST PICTURE
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Charlize Theron - MONSTER

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Bill Murray - LOST IN TRANSLATION

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN (This makes me sick. But she will.)

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Benicio Del Toro - 21 GRAMS (Either him,
Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER (or him.)

DIRECTING
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
MYSTIC RIVER (I really have no idea here, but I'll venture a guess.)

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
LOST IN TRANSLATION

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
FINDING NEMO

ART DIRECTION
MASTER AND COMMANDER (Either this,
SEABISCUIT (or this.)

CINEMATOGRAPHY
SEABISCUIT

COSTUME DESIGN
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
THE FOG OF WAR (Election year. This is a lock.)

FILM EDITING
SEABISCUIT (How sad that 21 Grams wasn't at least nominated.)

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS (No idea. I've heard a lot about this though.)

MAKEUP
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SCORE)
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SONG)
"Into the West" - THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(Music and Lyric by Fran Walsh and Howard Shore and Annie Lennox)

SOUND
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND EDITING
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD

VISUAL EFFECTS
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

So, what is that, 8 Oscars for LOTR? That sounds about right.

[Chest Rockwell]

The first one listed for each category is what I'd like to win. The second is what I think will win.

BEST PICTURE
LOST IN TRANSLATION; THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Naomi Watts - 21 GRAMS; Charlize Theron - MONSTER

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Bill Murray - LOST IN TRANSLATION;
Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER or Bill Murray

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Holly Hunter - THIRTEEN; Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Benicio Del Toro - 21 GRAMS or Tim Robbins or Alec Baldwin;
Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER

DIRECTING
LOST IN TRANSLATION; THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
CITY OF GOD; MYSTIC RIVER

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
LOST IN TRANSLATION; LOST IN TRANSLATION

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
THE TRIPLETS OF BELLEVILLE; FINDING NEMO

ART DIRECTION
GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING; THE RETURN OF THE KING

CINEMATOGRAPHY
CITY OF GOD or GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING; SEABISCUIT

COSTUME DESIGN
GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING; MASTER AND COMMANDER

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
CAPTURING THE FRIEDMANS; FOG OF WAR

FILM EDITING
CITY OF GOD; CITY OF GOD

BEST FOREIGN FILM
THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS; THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS

MAKEUP
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN; RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SCORE)
FINDING NEMO; THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SONG)
"The Triplets of Belleville" - THE TRIPLETS OF BELLEVILLE
(Music by Benoit Charest. Lyric by Sylvain Chomet);
"Into the West" - THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(Music and Lyric by Fran Walsh and Howard Shore and Annie Lennox)

SOUND
MASTER AND COMMANDER; RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND EDITING
FINDING NEMO; MASTER AND COMMANDER

VISUAL EFFECTS
THE RETURN OF THE KING; THE RETURN OF THE KING

[Kal]

BEST PICTURE
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
WANT: Naomi Watts - 21 GRAMS
THINK: Charlize Theron - MONSTER

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
WANT: Johnny Depp - PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
THINK: Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
WANT: Holly Hunter - THIRTEEN
THINK: Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
WANT: Benicio Del Toro - 21 GRAMS
THINK: Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER

DIRECTING
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: MYSTIC RIVER

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
WANT: LOST IN TRANSLATION
THINK: LOST IN TRANSLATION

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
WANT: FINDING NEMO
THINK: FINDING NEMO

ART DIRECTION
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

CINEMATOGRAPHY
WANT: MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
THINK: MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD

COSTUME DESIGN
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

FILM EDITING
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD

MAKEUP
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SCORE)
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND EDITING
WANT: PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
THINK: MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD

VISUAL EFFECTS
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SONG)
MUSIC (SONG)
"Into the West" - THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(Music and Lyric by Fran Walsh and Howard Shore and Annie Lennox)

[Henry Hill]

BEST PICTURE
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
WANT: Naomi Watts - 21 GRAMS
THINK: Charlize Theron - MONSTER

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
WANT: Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER
THINK: Sean Penn- MYSTIC RIVER

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
WANT: Marcia Gay Harden - MYSTIC RIVER
THINK: Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
WANT: Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER
THINK: Tim Robbins- MYSTIC RIVER

DIRECTING
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
THINK: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
WANT: CITY OF GOD
THINK: MYSTIC RIVER

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
WANT: LOST IN TRANSLATION
THINK: LOST IN TRANSLATION

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
WANT: FINDING NEMO
THINK: FINDING NEMO

ART DIRECTION
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

CINEMATOGRAPHY
WANT: COLD MOUNTAIN

COSTUME DESIGN
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

FILM EDITING
WANT: CITY OF GOD

MAKEUP
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SCORE)
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND EDITING
WANT: FINDING NEMO

VISUAL EFFECTS
WANT: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

[cine]

I don't know if this is too hard to figure out... but if your predictions take up double the space because you're putting the same film for 'want' and 'will', here's an idea: Put "WANT & WILL" on the SAME line. It's amazing, I know. Andyk can especially take note with a whopping 11 nominations with the repeated titles.
Anyway, it looks like shit.

[Sigur Rós]

Is it save to put all my money on Return of the King as best picture?
the odds are:

The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King    1.08
Mystic River                                                       7.00
Lost In Translation                                             9.00
Master And Commander                                     30.00
Seabiscuit                                                         50.00

[Find Your Magali]

My only prediction is that there will be one absolute jaw-dropping stunner, because almost everything seems TOO easy right now.

Best bets to be victims of a stunner: Renee Zellweger, Charlize Theron

That's all I have to say about that....

[Gold Trumpet]

Of the main categories, italicized are the ones I think will win.

BEST PICTURE
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
LOST IN TRANSLATION
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
MYSTIC RIVER
SEABISCUIT

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Keisha Castle-Hughes - WHALE RIDER
Diane Keaton - SOMETHING'S GOTTA GIVE
Samantha Morton - IN AMERICA
Charlize Theron - MONSTER
Naomi Watts - 21 GRAMS

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Johnny Depp - PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL
Ben Kingsley - HOUSE OF SAND AND FOG
Jude Law - COLD MOUNTAIN
Bill Murray - LOST IN TRANSLATION
Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Shohreh Aghdashloo - HOUSE OF SAND AND FOG
Patricia Clarkson - PIECES OF APRIL
Marcia Gay Harden - MYSTIC RIVER
Holly Hunter - THIRTEEN
Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Alec Baldwin - THE COOLER
Benicio Del Toro - 21 GRAMS
Djimon Hounsou - IN AMERICA
Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER
Ken Watanabe - THE LAST SAMURAI

DIRECTING
CITY OF GOD
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
LOST IN TRANSLATION
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
MYSTIC RIVER

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
AMERICAN SPLENDOR
CITY OF GOD
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
MYSTIC RIVER
SEABISCUIT

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS
DIRTY PRETTY THINGS
FINDING NEMO
IN AMERICA
LOST IN TRANSLATION

[cine]

Mine's the same as your's, GT. Only we know LOTR is winning Best Picture and LIT winning is a nice little pipe dream.