Oscar Predictions and Final Awards Comments

[Chest Rockwell]

I have a feeling GT is going to be wrong about a lot of them, though...

[Finn]

HERE'S MY PREDICTIONS...

BEST PICTURE
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE  
Charlize Theron - MONSTER

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE  
Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE  
Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER

DIRECTING
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
MYSTIC RIVER

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
LOST IN TRANSLATION

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM  
FINDING NEMO

ART DIRECTION
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

CINEMATOGRAPHY
COLD MOUNTAIN

COSTUME DESIGN  
THE LAST SAMURAI

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
THE FOG OF WAR

FILM EDITING
CITY OF GOD

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS

MAKEUP
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: THE CURSE OF THE BLACK PEARL

MUSIC (SCORE)
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SONG)
"Into the West" - THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
(Music and Lyric by Fran Walsh and Howard Shore and Annie Lennox)

SOUND
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND EDITING
MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD

VISUAL EFFECTS
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING


Overall, I think LOTR will get pretty much everything it's nominated for. It's the perfect time to honor the trilogy particularly since the second one was kinda overlooked last year.

[life_boy]

Think is for them.
Want is for me

BEST PICTURE
Think: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
Want: LOST IN TRANSLATION

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Think: Charlize Theron - MONSTER
Want: Keisha Castle-Hughes - WHALE RIDER

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Think: Sean Penn - MYSTIC RIVER
Want: Bill Murray - LOST IN TRANSLATION

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Think: Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN
Want: Patricia Clarkson - PIECES OF APRIL

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Think: Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER
Want: Alec Baldwin - THE COOLER

DIRECTING
Think/Want: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
Think: MYSTIC RIVER
Want: AMERICAN SPLENDOR  

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
Think/Want: LOST IN TRANSLATION

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Think/Want: FINDING NEMO

ART DIRECTION
Think: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
Want: THE LAST SAMURAI

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Think: SEABISCUIT
Want: GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING

COSTUME DESIGN
Think: GIRL WITH A PEARL EARRING
Want: THE LAST SAMURAI

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Think: THE FOG OF WAR
Want: CAPTURING THE FRIEDMANS  

FILM EDITING
Think: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING  
Want: CITY OF GOD

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Think/Want: THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS

MAKEUP
Think/Want: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

MUSIC (SCORE)
Think: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING  
Want: FINDING NEMO

MUSIC (SONG)
Think: "Into the West" - THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
Want: "A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow" - A MIGHTY WIND

SOUND
Think/Want: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

SOUND EDITING
Think: MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD
Want: FINDING NEMO

VISUAL EFFECTS
Think/Want: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

[xerxes]

ok i guess i'll get into this

BEST PICTURE
want: LOST IN TRANSLATION
think: LOST IN TRANSLATION (if lotr didn't get it in 2001 when they gave it to a beautiful mind, something tells me it won't win this year either... although i could be wrong, in which case i wouldn't be disappointed... also see 1977)

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
want: Charlize Theron - MONSTER (although i have not yet seen 21 grams for some strange reason)
think: Charlize Theron - MONSTER

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
want: Bill Murray - LOST IN TRANSLATION
think: Bill Murray - LOST IN TRANSLATION

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
want: Patricia Clarkson - PIECES OF APRIL
think: Renée Zellweger - COLD MOUNTAIN

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
want: Djimon Hounsou - IN AMERICA
think: Tim Robbins - MYSTIC RIVER

DIRECTING
want: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING
think: THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
want: CITY OF GOD
think: MYSTIC RIVER  

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
want: LOST IN TRANSLATION
think: LOST IN TRANSLATION

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
want: THE TRIPLETS OF BELLEVILLE
think: FINDING NEMO

lotr will get most of the tech awards

[rustinglass]

Is it save to put all my money on Return of the King as best picture?

 
When will you learn....?
you'll loose your house and car soon.

[Gold Trumpet]

Mine's the same as your's, GT. Only we know LOTR is winning Best Picture and LIT winning is a nice little pipe dream.

I keep hearing about LOTR being a lock for best picture, but I think its more gloss buzz. The film is the money maker and fan favorite of the bunch, but its also disliked by a lot by of film people. I think the Oscars are mainstream, but I also think they nicely overlook big blockbusters enough to guess (and hope) that the critical hit Lost in Translation will win. Its the only other film that seems to be major competition to LOTR in the public eye.

On second thought, the only one I picked I am second guessing is Bill Muarry for Best Actor. Some thought he was great, some thought he was just carrying over a personality. Of the likelies, I think Penn could get it too because his praise of acting is the most consistent and there is a feeling he missed out by not winning any of his previous nominations. Of course, Kingsley is going almost unnoticed when I think he was miles beyond everyone else in competition because his film has no press. Supporting Actress is the category of surprise winner so I think the female lead will get it there. Also, Charlize Theron is the closest thing to a lock in the whole bunch.

[modage]

Lost In Translation's the only other film that seems to be major competition to LOTR in the public eye.

i would imagine a Mystic River upset 1000 times before i imagine Lost in Translation.

[Chest Rockwell]

Lost In Translation's the only other film that seems to be major competition to LOTR in the public eye.

i would imagine a Mystic River upset 1000 times before i imagine Lost in Translation.

I would be ecstatic if Lost in Translation actually won.

[modage]

i dont think it has a chance in hell at best picture, but i guess we'll find out tomorrow night.

[MacGuffin]

Seabiscuit will win and I will be happy and I will laugh in all your faces.  

[Banky]

yeah for some reason i have a feeling that if anything beats LOTR it will be seabiscuit

[Find Your Magali]

Seabiscuit as spoiler, hmm?

I think the biggest possibility of an upset remains Mystic River. ... Never underestimate the power of beloved Clint Eastwood director an actors' movie full of big stars.

[RegularKarate]

I really don't think Lord of the Rings will win.  Oscars don't really tend to like fantasy films.  (E.T. and Star Wars both lost).

It won't be Lost in Translation either... I think it's very possible it's going to be Seabiscuit or Mystic River, though I've had a really strong feeling that Master in Comander would win for a long time, I'm going against that feeling.

Other Predictions:

Theron gets Oscar and makes terrible acceptance speech.

Billy Crystal tries too hard

Kingsley beats Bill Murray and America cries

Brother Bear will win Best Animated film and Steve Jobs will climb on the rafters and start screaming

Shrek 2 will suck

[A Matter Of Chance]

Joan Rivers gets depressed, realized no one likes her, commits suicide, Johnyy Depp wins.

[cine]

the Oscars haven't even started yet and already Ben Stiller and Owen Wilson are stealing the show.