And I assume I don't know what I'm talking about either? Doubt it. Monster was crap, and Theron's performance was nothing special. Watts' performance had power that reminded me of Brando, much like Ebert's Barry comparison in Monster's Ball (though I don't know if I agree with that one). As stated many times before, I want Castle-Hughes to pull off the upset, but Watts winning would be well-deserved. Anyone can uglify herself and play "the monster" as Theron did, but to channel real human heartbreak like Watts did takes real skill and talent. Also, as I said in the 21 Grams thread, the scene in the kitchen where she breaks down just floored me.